Roshan Kishore

Roshan Kishore is the Data and Political Economy Editor at Hindustan Times. His weekly column for HT Premium Terms of Trade appears every Friday.

Articles by Roshan Kishore

India’s laptop import restrictions is not a bad move

A look at why the decision to impose an import license on computers, if implemented intelligently, may not be a bad move

The government, last week, issued a notification announcing the introduction of import licenses for laptops, personal computers and servers.
Published on Aug 08, 2023 12:42 AM IST

Terms of Trade | Sectarian politics and its statistical hubris

Dismissing growing concern around incidents of sectarian violence by citing other numbers for communal harmony is a wrong application of statistical law

Paramilitary personnel stand guard in Haryana's Nuh as curfew is imposed. On Monday, large-scale violence erupted after a religious procession led by myriad Hindu groups passed through a Muslim-dominated town in the Nuh district of Haryana.(ANI)
Published on Aug 04, 2023 09:08 AM IST

Nuh: A troubled district to a communal tinderbox?

A look at why Haryana's Nuh district may become a communal tinderbox which may polarise politics.

Communal violence has gripped Nuh since July 31.
Updated on Aug 02, 2023 12:48 AM IST

Number Theory: Can lower fuel prices ease inflation pain from cereals?

There is good reason to believe that fiscal policy can play a positive role in controlling inflation via an intervention on the fuel prices front.

The petrol pump attendant said the car driver first asked him to fill up the tank and then also got several plastic cans filled, leading to a total bill of <span class='webrupee'>₹</span>26,500. (Reuters)
Updated on Jul 31, 2023 04:54 AM IST

Terms of Trade | Two realpolitik questions on the Manipur tragedy

One: Why is Biren Singh still CM? Two: Why has the gender violence in Manipur not seen nationwide protests?

Manipur has been witnessing ethnic violence since first week of May (File Photo)
Published on Jul 28, 2023 05:46 PM IST

Will rice spoil India’s inflation math?

A look at how rising prices of cereals, particularly rice, are turning out to be a major concern.

There are rain-related concerns with India's rice production this year.
Updated on Jul 28, 2023 12:33 AM IST

Top 5% own 53% of ACs in India

What data about ownership of ACs tells us about the country

The richest 10% Indians own more than 70% of all ACs in the country.
Published on Jul 27, 2023 12:40 AM IST

How many Indians are becoming richer with India?

As India's economic growth gains traction, a look at how many people in the country are enjoying high standards of living.

Understanding the context behind per capita GDP numbers and the headline GDP.
Published on Jul 25, 2023 10:58 PM IST

Will India@100 be an economic superpower?

A look at some scenarios about India's GDP and per capita GDP, and how it sits against the prospects of India becoming a developed economy by 2047

This is the first of a two-part data journalism series looking at the prospects of India becoming a developed economy by 2047.
Updated on Jul 25, 2023 12:18 AM IST

Terms of Trade | Has INDIA changed the road to 2024?

Short answer: It remains to be seen. For all practical purposes, the next Parliamentary elections are Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s, and not the BJP’s, to lose

Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance (INDIA) of 26 opposition parties has generated a lot of buzz. (Shrikant Singh)
Published on Jul 21, 2023 08:54 PM IST

The controversy around government surveys in India

A panel under the chairmanship of India’s former chief statistician Pranab Sen will review the conduct of all statistical surveys conducted by the government

Questions around govt surveys are neither unprecedented nor unwarranted and we dissect the same in a holistic manner here. (HT file photo)
Updated on Jul 19, 2023 12:32 AM IST

Is there a method to the tomato price madness?

A look at what rising tomato prices tell us about the volatility of the vegetable market in India

Tomato prices are at a record high across India. (FILE PHOTO)
Published on Jul 18, 2023 12:25 AM IST

Muslims are the poorest religious group in India

An HT analysis of unit level data from the latest AIDIS and PLFS shows they have the lowest asset and consumption levels among major religious groups in India

Muslims have the lowest asset/consumption levels among major religious groups. (PTI Photo)
Updated on Jun 30, 2023 09:22 AM IST

Are Muslims a more unequal society in India?

The question one can answer on the basis of data is whether Muslims are a more unequal society in India than other religions

People shop at a market ahead of Eid
Published on Jun 29, 2023 12:25 AM IST

Terms of Trade | Why we need nuanced look at fiscal federalism debate

Economic and demographic divergence across the country pose an imminent threat to fiscal federalism

Ashok Mitra, one of India’s finest economists — his cult classic Terms of Trade and Class Relations has inspired the name of this column — was a militant defender of state’s fiscal rights vis-à-vis the Centre.(HT Archives)
Published on Jun 28, 2023 05:24 PM IST

Terms of Trade | The "India is democratic" debate is pointless. Here's why

The plutocratic turn in Indian democracy is ideology agnostic and it has pretty much killed inner-party democracy across the board

The trigger for the democracy debate seems to be the second consecutive victory of the BJP under Narendra Modi in 2019. (HT Archive/For Representative Purposes)
Published on Jun 23, 2023 05:41 PM IST

India’s goldilocks moment flags a unique asymmetry

There is a unique asymmetry in the Indian economy where growth is driven by the rich but inflation is more dependent on the poor, and on extra-economic factors

India's growth is in a goldilocks moment
Updated on Jun 22, 2023 06:24 PM IST

Terms of Trade | Atal Behari Vajpayee: a poet, a pragmatist, and a politician

A new biography throws light on former PM and Jan Sangh (and later, BJP) stalwart who embodied the seasoned politician's ability to straddle contradictions

Has the BJP gained more by adopting a Hindutva hardline approach – the Ram temple movement under the leadership of Lal Krishna Advani – or putting forward its moderate face in the form of Atal Bihari Vajpayee?(HT PHOTO)
Published on Jun 16, 2023 04:33 PM IST

At 4.25%, retail inflation in May down to over 2-year low

The uncertainty over the south-western monsoon is causing concern, with the monsoon's performance set to be crucial for inflation's future trajectory.

The latest inflation number is marginally lower than the 4.31% forecast by a Bloomberg poll of economists.(MINT_PRINT)
Updated on Jun 13, 2023 02:13 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Number theory: What is driving farmers’ protests in Haryana?

Farmers in Haryana have been protesting over the past few days demanding that the government procure sunflower seeds at the MSP. What explains these protests?

Protesting farmers at the highway
Updated on Jun 13, 2023 10:20 AM IST

RBI keeps rate on hold, talks tough on inflation

The MPC resolution has kept its April meeting’s projection for annual GDP growth in 2023-24 unchanged at 6.5%.

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das addresses the media during a press conference, in Mumbai.(ANI)
Updated on Jun 09, 2023 02:37 AM IST
By, New Delhi

TERMS OF TRADE | Lessons from the Balasore train tragedy

For better safety systems, investment is required, but Indian Railways cannot afford to raise ticket costs as a bulk of its passengers are unable to afford it.

Why does the latest accident iin Balasore touch such a raw nerve then? (AFP)
Updated on Jun 15, 2023 10:03 PM IST

Railways spent much less on replacing old tracks than CAG estimated: Data

CAG flagged in its 23rd report of 2022 that the fund meant for replacement and renewal of assets was “insufficient”.

Trains services resumed near Bahanaga Bazar railway station in Balasore district on Monday. (PTI)(HT_PRINT)
Updated on Jun 06, 2023 04:31 AM IST
By, Rajeev Jayaswal, , New Delhi

Terms of Trade | Nuanced economic debates will not matter in 2024

Economic factors will play a big role in the BJP retaining power next year. Despite headline numbers, the impact of policies on grassroots voters will be key

Whether the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) wins a third consecutive term will depend a lot on the economic perception of voters(File)
Updated on Jun 15, 2023 10:05 PM IST

Number theory: Understanding the state of the Indian economy

The Union government released important economic data including GDP numbers, fiscal figures, and core sector index. What do these numbers tell us?

Customers buy vegetables at a night market in Hyderabad. (AFP)
Updated on Jun 01, 2023 05:36 PM IST

FY23 GDP growth hits 7.2% after a strong Q4

GDP numbers exceeded the government’s own projections and was the result of a better-than-expected performance in the last quarter of the fiscal

Labourers at a construction site in Mumbai. (AFP)
Updated on May 31, 2023 11:58 PM IST
By, New Delhi

Terms of Trade | BJP's hegemony without dominance

Large parts of India’s population do not find the BJP’s political imagery selling the PM as the perfect amalgamation as repulsive as the left-liberal voices do

The political imagery of the prime minister inaugurating the new parliament must be seen along with various other images of him signifying a rejuvenation of the Indian state under the current government’s tenur(ANI Photo/Ayush Sharma)
Updated on Jun 15, 2023 10:07 PM IST

Data and reality clash in poverty numbers

Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Yojna (PMGKY) was among the biggest relief measures which the Narendra Modi government deployed during the pandemic

HT Image
Updated on May 23, 2023 10:17 AM IST
By, New Delhi

Six years later, 2,000 notes to be withdrawn

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday announced the withdrawal of the ₹2,000 denomination notes from circulation.

Banks will start exchanging notes from May 23 and people can exchange <span class='webrupee'>₹</span>2,000 banknotes up to a limit of <span class='webrupee'>₹</span>20,000 at a time. (PTI)
Updated on May 20, 2023 01:58 AM IST
ByRajeev Jayaswal, , New Delhi

Terms of Trade | Implications of BJP’s sputtering 'double-engine'

What the voter wants is not a second economic engine which will fire in sync with the Centre, but a booster engine which brings greater income support ballast

Nobody will disagree that the fortunes of current day BJP have surged by riding piggyback on the popularity of the prime minister. (PTI)
Updated on Jun 15, 2023 10:08 PM IST
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